According to the most recent Public Policy Polling (PPP)
Virginia poll, the incumbent president, Barack Obama, is up by 5 points, 51-46,
against his Republican counterpart, Mitt Romney.[1]
Consequently, President Obama appears to be on solid footing in Virginia for
the upcoming election.
Over the past 9 times that PPP has polled this cycle,
President Obama has been ahead of Romney by at least 4 points on all 9 of the
polls. According to PPP, President Obama has been up by 5 points, 5 points, 8
points, and 8 points “over the course of the four surveys we’ve conducted in
2012.”[2]
In terms of trust on foreign policy and the economy, President
Obama leads Romney 51-45 and 49-47, respectively.
Another interesting finding from the most recent PPP poll is
that Democratic voters are more amped about the November election than
Republicans are. This is in contrast to an enthusiasm gap that existed amongst
Democratic Party voters not too long ago.
Lastly, Virginia voters think Mitt Romney should release 12
years of his tax returns by a 50/43 margin.[3]
If you’re a Romney campaign staffer, abandon ship now.
While Virginia isn’t THE lab for testing President Obama’s
popularity in swing states, it’s pretty close. If Virginia can be swayed in
President Obama’s favor, there’s a good chance that he can win in other key
swing states as well.
One plus for the Republicans is that if President Obama wins
reelection, the GOP can blame their uncharismatic and apparently untrusted
presidential candidate for the loss, thereby giving the GOP’s leadership room
to largely maintain their current policy platform. That’s one plus side to Romney’s
presidential aspiration woes for the GOP.
Of course, the Republican Party could move to the political
center instead of holding on for dear life to the edges of the far-right
political spectrum.
After millions of dollars spent on advertisements and
thousands of ads being continuously thrown on the television screens of America’s
voters, the GOP and their allies still haven’t captured the votes of a majority
of Americans. It’s because even conservative Americans may not agree with the
policies and tactics being pursued by today’s Republican Party.
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