Wednesday, September 19, 2012

New Public Policy Polling Virginia poll shows President Obama ahead of Mitt Romney


According to the most recent Public Policy Polling (PPP) Virginia poll, the incumbent president, Barack Obama, is up by 5 points, 51-46, against his Republican counterpart, Mitt Romney.[1] Consequently, President Obama appears to be on solid footing in Virginia for the upcoming election.

Over the past 9 times that PPP has polled this cycle, President Obama has been ahead of Romney by at least 4 points on all 9 of the polls. According to PPP, President Obama has been up by 5 points, 5 points, 8 points, and 8 points “over the course of the four surveys we’ve conducted in 2012.”[2]

In terms of trust on foreign policy and the economy, President Obama leads Romney 51-45 and 49-47, respectively.

Another interesting finding from the most recent PPP poll is that Democratic voters are more amped about the November election than Republicans are. This is in contrast to an enthusiasm gap that existed amongst Democratic Party voters not too long ago.

Lastly, Virginia voters think Mitt Romney should release 12 years of his tax returns by a 50/43 margin.[3] If you’re a Romney campaign staffer, abandon ship now.

While Virginia isn’t THE lab for testing President Obama’s popularity in swing states, it’s pretty close. If Virginia can be swayed in President Obama’s favor, there’s a good chance that he can win in other key swing states as well.

One plus for the Republicans is that if President Obama wins reelection, the GOP can blame their uncharismatic and apparently untrusted presidential candidate for the loss, thereby giving the GOP’s leadership room to largely maintain their current policy platform. That’s one plus side to Romney’s presidential aspiration woes for the GOP.

Of course, the Republican Party could move to the political center instead of holding on for dear life to the edges of the far-right political spectrum.

After millions of dollars spent on advertisements and thousands of ads being continuously thrown on the television screens of America’s voters, the GOP and their allies still haven’t captured the votes of a majority of Americans. It’s because even conservative Americans may not agree with the policies and tactics being pursued by today’s Republican Party.

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